There was an article in today's Star paper that struck a chord with me. The title was "Trust your gut."
When I was working as an engineer before, making decisions based on "gut feel" was something that was frowned about by the company's management. The management would, understandably, prefer decisions to be taken after a long, drawn-out process that usually involve meetings, reports, back-and-forth emails, etc.
In my trades however, I sometimes I make trading decisions based on gut feel. When I see certain price pattern on a chart that simply jumps out screaming "trade me", I would just place my trade and walk away.
More often than not, these "beautiful setups", although do not happen quite often, had produce more winners than losers.
So, "gut feel" decision making certainly has its place (to me, at least), although we should not equate gut feel with reckless decisions!
Here's what Jack Welch, the legendary ex-GE boss, has to say about this type of decision-making process (again, I quote this from the same article that was published in the Star today):
"Sometimes making a decision is hard not because it is unpopular, but because it comes from your gut and defies a "technical" rationale. Much has been written about the mystery of gut, but it's really just pattern recognition, isn't it. You've seen something so many times you just know what's going on this time. The facts may be incomplete or the data limited, but the situation feels very, very familiar to you."Surely the type of gut decisions that Jack talked about is not reckless decisions, but decisions made after having seen similar "patterns" in the past.
So how do we relate this to trading?
It means trading based on certain price patterns that have worked well more often than not, thus giving you confidence to pull the trigger whenever you see similar trade setups.
It also means that you need to spend some screen time to discover these patterns, unfortunately, in order to gain that priceless confidence.
This is something that no trading books or trading gurus can give you. This is something that each of us have to get it ourselves, after spending some time in the trenches.