Thursday, January 28, 2010
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Monday, January 25, 2010
Thursday, January 21, 2010
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Monday, January 18, 2010
News Day
Another BE Trade!
Thursday, January 14, 2010
New Trade
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Monday, January 11, 2010
Winning Trade
Sunday, January 10, 2010
Friday, January 8, 2010
Making Decisions Based On "Gut Feel"
There was an article in today's Star paper that struck a chord with me. The title was "Trust your gut."
When I was working as an engineer before, making decisions based on "gut feel" was something that was frowned about by the company's management. The management would, understandably, prefer decisions to be taken after a long, drawn-out process that usually involve meetings, reports, back-and-forth emails, etc.
In my trades however, I sometimes I make trading decisions based on gut feel. When I see certain price pattern on a chart that simply jumps out screaming "trade me", I would just place my trade and walk away.
More often than not, these "beautiful setups", although do not happen quite often, had produce more winners than losers.
So, "gut feel" decision making certainly has its place (to me, at least), although we should not equate gut feel with reckless decisions!
Here's what Jack Welch, the legendary ex-GE boss, has to say about this type of decision-making process (again, I quote this from the same article that was published in the Star today):
"Sometimes making a decision is hard not because it is unpopular, but because it comes from your gut and defies a "technical" rationale. Much has been written about the mystery of gut, but it's really just pattern recognition, isn't it. You've seen something so many times you just know what's going on this time. The facts may be incomplete or the data limited, but the situation feels very, very familiar to you."
Surely the type of gut decisions that Jack talked about is not reckless decisions, but decisions made after having seen similar "patterns" in the past.
So how do we relate this to trading?
It means trading based on certain price patterns that have worked well more often than not, thus giving you confidence to pull the trigger whenever you see similar trade setups.
It also means that you need to spend some screen time to discover these patterns, unfortunately, in order to gain that priceless confidence.
This is something that no trading books or trading gurus can give you. This is something that each of us have to get it ourselves, after spending some time in the trenches.
When I was working as an engineer before, making decisions based on "gut feel" was something that was frowned about by the company's management. The management would, understandably, prefer decisions to be taken after a long, drawn-out process that usually involve meetings, reports, back-and-forth emails, etc.
In my trades however, I sometimes I make trading decisions based on gut feel. When I see certain price pattern on a chart that simply jumps out screaming "trade me", I would just place my trade and walk away.
More often than not, these "beautiful setups", although do not happen quite often, had produce more winners than losers.
So, "gut feel" decision making certainly has its place (to me, at least), although we should not equate gut feel with reckless decisions!
Here's what Jack Welch, the legendary ex-GE boss, has to say about this type of decision-making process (again, I quote this from the same article that was published in the Star today):
"Sometimes making a decision is hard not because it is unpopular, but because it comes from your gut and defies a "technical" rationale. Much has been written about the mystery of gut, but it's really just pattern recognition, isn't it. You've seen something so many times you just know what's going on this time. The facts may be incomplete or the data limited, but the situation feels very, very familiar to you."
Surely the type of gut decisions that Jack talked about is not reckless decisions, but decisions made after having seen similar "patterns" in the past.
So how do we relate this to trading?
It means trading based on certain price patterns that have worked well more often than not, thus giving you confidence to pull the trigger whenever you see similar trade setups.
It also means that you need to spend some screen time to discover these patterns, unfortunately, in order to gain that priceless confidence.
This is something that no trading books or trading gurus can give you. This is something that each of us have to get it ourselves, after spending some time in the trenches.
NFP Day!
As I said earlier in my post, I took profit early on this trade. I planned it such that if my remaining position is taken out at my stoploss point, I'll end up break-even with this trade.
Reason for adopting this strategy is due to the looming NFP news coming up this evening.
In any case, my trade is now pretty much risk-free, so let's just wait & see what happens once the news comes out.
Reason for adopting this strategy is due to the looming NFP news coming up this evening.
In any case, my trade is now pretty much risk-free, so let's just wait & see what happens once the news comes out.
Thursday, January 7, 2010
New Trade
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
Losing Trade
Well, it HAD to happen......sooner or later. Scored a loss on my EUR.GBP trade, when it reversed (possibly due to News announcement).
I need to pay more attention on news, as I've already got nailed 3 times due to news.
Speaking of news, we're going to be getting a slew of them. So I'll need to be selective on my trades.
New Trade
Welcome, 2010!
This 1st week of the new year has been a pretty busy one for me, due to my daughter going for Year One schooling activities. Heck, I even had to be around during the school's break time, just to make sure that everything is A-OK!
Funnily, I never remember my parents doing that to me when I was in Year One myself.......am I pampering my daughter too much? Hmm....
Anyway, all this back-to-school stuff does take a toll on my trading activities. For this week at least, I won't be able to do much intraday stuff.
My game plan for now will be to focus on the longer timeframes, specifically Daily & 4-hourly.
Took a short position on the EUR.GBP pair.
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