I received a few questions regarding Risk-of-ruin & Expectancy. Well, the math is as follows:
Risk-of-Ruin
-------------
{[1-(W-L)]/[1+(W-L)]}power of U
where
W= probability of winning
L= probability of losing
U= number of units of money in trading account
The objective is to get r-o-r = 0%
Expectancy
------------
[probability of winning x (avg win/avg loss)]-[probability of losing x (avg loss/avg loss)]
The objective is to get a positive expectancy number. Obviously the higher, the better.
So, there you go! For more info, go read Dr Van Tharp's books (e.g. Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom).
Thursday, July 8, 2010
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment